The National Center of Meteorology forecast for the coming week indicates fair to partly cloudy weather in general across the UAE from Monday, with chances of convective cloud development and rain showers over eastern areas in the afternoon, according to recent NCM updates reported on August 2. Winds are expected to be light to moderate, occasionally freshening, with speeds of 10 to 25 kilometres per hour and gusts reaching 40 kilometres per hour at times. Sea conditions will remain slight in the Arabian Gulf and Oman Sea, the authority said.
Temperatures are forecast to remain elevated, with daytime highs potentially exceeding 40 degrees Celsius in many inland areas as the country continues to experience summer conditions, a National Center of Meteorology assessment found. Night-time lows are likely to stay in the upper 30s in coastal regions, contributing to high humidity levels that could reach 80 to 90 per cent during early morning hours. The authority has noted that such patterns are typical for August, which often sees a continuation of July’s hot and humid weather interspersed with occasional instability.
On Tuesday and Wednesday, the National Center of Meteorology expects similar conditions with a slight increase in cloud cover over northern and eastern parts of the country at times. Scattered rain may develop in those areas, particularly during afternoon and evening hours, as per the five-day outlook. Winds will continue from a southeasterly to northwesterly direction, the authority reported, maintaining the slight sea state. This forecast aligns with broader regional patterns where the Indian Ocean monsoon influences occasional convective activity, Central Statistical Bureau-equivalent regional climate data shows.
Thursday and Friday are predicted to see a gradual stabilisation, with mostly fair weather dominating although isolated clouds could persist over the mountains, according to the National Center of Meteorology. Daytime temperatures are expected to peak between 42 and 48 degrees Celsius in some interior locations while coastal cities like Dubai and Abu Dhabi may see highs around 38 to 42 degrees Celsius. The authority advised residents to take precautions against the heat, including staying hydrated and limiting outdoor exposure during peak hours.
The latest outlook comes as the UAE recorded its first 50-degree Celsius day of 2026 in late July, with the National Center of Meteorology confirming a reading of 50 degrees in Al Shawamekh, Abu Dhabi. Such extremes underscore the intensity of the current summer season, which a regional climate review by the World Meteorological Organization has linked to broader warming trends across the Arabian Peninsula. The forecast serves as guidance for aviation, marine and public activities through the end of the week.
